Home Prices Post Record Drop

[MichaelC 160]

This seems to contradict what the NAR's Chief Economist said just last week. . .

 

Home prices post record 15.3% drop

Prices in 20 cities fall for 21st month in a row. One sign of hope: Pace of decline eased in many areas.

By Les Christie, CNNMoney.com staff writer

Last Updated: June 24, 2008: 11:16 AM EDT

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com)

 

U.S. home prices posted record declines in April, extending a painful losing streak for U.S. home prices.

 

The S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city Home Price Index fell to a record low of 15.3% on a year-over-year basis, and was down 1.4% from March. The 10-city index was down 16.3% year-over-year and 1.6% for the month.

 

The 20-city index is based on data going back 19 years, while the 10-city index is 21 years old.

 

There is one sliver of hope. Although every city surveyed posted year-over-year price drops, the month-to-month pace of declines did slow in many cities. And eight metro areas actually posted gains from March to April.

 

Hard-hit Cleveland was the biggest winner, with prices up 2.9%. Charlotte, N.C. posted a slight gain of 0.2%, up for the second straight month, while Dallas prices were up 1.1% in April, also up for the second month in a row.

 

"There might be some regional pockets of improvement, but on an annual basis the overall numbers continue to decline," said David Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor's.

 

Indeed, there are anecdotal reports that investors have begun to snap up distressed Cleveland properties at very low prices, according to Dean Baker, Co-Director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, a Washington-based think tank.

 

"The data suggests that Cleveland has found a bottom," he said, "although it's just one month's data and I wouldn't make too much of it."

 

The overall price declines have been remarkably consistent through the past two years with prices on the 20-city index dropping for 21 straight months, since July 2006. The 10-city index has fallen every month since June 2006.

 

What's more, recent drops have been particularly steep. The 20-city index fell 2.2% in March, 2.6% in February and 2.3% in January, and now it has gone down another 1.4%.

 

"In the bubble markets, we continue to see very rapid rates of price declines," said Baker. "If anything, it may be accelerating."

 

Las Vegas prices plunged 26.8% compared with April of 2007, the worst drop among the 20 cities Case-Shiller covers. Prices there fell 2% in April.

 

Other hard hit cities include Miami (down 26.7% year-over-year and 4.1% in April), Phoenix (25% and 3.4%) and Los Angeles (23.1% and 2.2%).

 

Plummeting prices could derail some of the foreclosure prevention efforts underway across the nation. As home prices fall, that wipes out home equity, often leaving homeowners underwater, with mortgages worth more than what their homes are worth.

 

Some 10 million homeowners are now underwater, according to Moody's Economy.com, and that number will continue to grow as home prices plummet.

 

Underwater borrowers have higher rates of foreclosure than those with some home equity, since they can't tap their homes for cash in case of an emergency. And some owners are simply walking away from homes that have lost so much value rather than continuing to make expensive payments every month.

 

Foreclosed homes go back on the market, often at distressed sale prices, pulling down home values further, and adding to the downward spiral of prices.

 

Case-Shiller is one of the most respected gauges of home prices available because it tracks the sale prices of the same homes over the years. That removes some of the seasonal variations that exist in other home prices indicators such as the median home price statistics from the National Association of Realtors.

 

First Published: June 24, 2008: 9:18 AM EDT

[phil43 0]

MC,

 

Where's the optimism?

 

Phil

[MichaelC 160]

MC,

 

Where's the optimism?

 

Phil

Right here, Phil. Right here.